It has been like meeting old
friends. In recent weeks, I have looked anew at the Dartmouth Conference, a
series of meetings that began at the height of the Cold War as an effort to get
Soviets and Americans to talk to each other. Dartmouth was the subject of my book, but it has been more than a decade since I last considered it in
any depth.
The Dartmouth Conference is the longest
continuous bilateral dialogue between Americans and Russians. Norman
Cousins started it in 1960. He was the renowned editor of the Saturday Review. He was an anti-nuclear
activist and believer in world government, a man the powerful wanted to speak
to, including Eisenhower, Kennedy, and Khrushchev. Cousins believed that the United
States and the Soviet Union had a common interest in not blowing each other up.
He also believed that dialogue outside official channels could help prevent
that holocaust.
How could it do that? A naïf would argue that through dialogue we
can dissolve differences. That is almost never the case. It was certainly not
the case during the Soviet era when Soviet participants in Dartmouth like
Georgi Arbatov and Yevgeniy Primakov, who became Russia’s prime minister, made
their differences with American policy clearly known. The ability of Soviet
participants to deviate far from official pronouncements was limited in any
case.
What dialogue can do is to clarify the differences between the two sides. It can show what perceptions,
experiences, and reasoning lead two sides to oppose each other on a particular
issue. Or in general. It can also reveal what interests they share. During the Cold War, the
two superpowers wanted to avoid nuclear war and nuclear proliferation at
the same time that they were nearly coming to blows over Berlin and Cuba and
fighting proxy wars in Africa and Afghanistan. The dialogues at Dartmouth did
not paper over the differences—would one expect participants like Zbigniew Brzezinski to
soft pedal what they saw as Soviet malfeasance?
But the
participants at Dartmouth have also sought areas of common interest. And found them. In time, they came to propose ways to strengthen those common interests. Primakov “noted that we achieved considerable progress in designing measures to normalize the situation in the Middle East.” Policy makers don't always pay attention, as Primakov also noted.
But they do sometimes and that can be important. In 1984, Secretary of State George Schultz used information gained from Dartmouth
about Soviet attitudes to further an improvement in U.S.-Soviet relations from
the cold freeze of the early Reagan years.
Dialogues like Dartmouth that involve people
trusted by both sides and are sustained over time can also provide a ready-made
back-channel for policy makers to use to send messages or, as Primakov put it, “to ‘test the water’ regarding ideas put forward by
their governments.” Alexander Haig, Reagan’s first Secretary of State, was not
the only one to do this with Dartmouth.
I’m pleased to be able to say that Dartmouth
continues to meet and make recommendations that could help American policy as
it deals with conflict across the globe. For example, the 19th Conference,
held in March this year, recommended that Russia and the United States “create
a contact group to work on common approaches to such issues as controlling the
flow of fighters [to Islamic State], financing and
possibly sharing ideas on the sensitive issue of Turkey’s role in this
conflict.” Who knows what influence that might have had on the mess we find
ourselves in now in Syria.
Dialogues like Dartmouth are especially
important at a time when regional expertise is devalued in academia and
government and language skills are diminishing across the board in the United
States. The chances that we might be trapped in the bubble of our own
assumptions are increasing. History is rife with errors made by those who could
not escape that bubble.
I spent much of an earlier part
of my career, before I became involved in cybersecurity, cyberwar, and the
like, looking at Dartmouth. For several years, I’m proud to say, I worked with
Hal Saunders, a former Assistant Secretary of State and co-chair, with Primakov
for a time, of the Dartmouth Regional Conflicts Task Force. I am a realist by
nature and a pessimist about international relations, yet through that
experience, I learned that if there is dialogue, there is hope that the worst
can be avoided. The 20th session of the Dartmouth Conference just
ended. Long may it continue.
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